Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 1068.158939 1225.478751 1405.682577 1629.084680 1900.988313 2224.279299 2.642439e+03
2024-12-29 849.716083 1050.453433 1304.680424 1657.070599 2144.086397 2811.166224 3.827092e+03
2025-01-05 711.458772 917.296031 1193.457983 1602.680493 2215.023185 3135.630382 4.707594e+03
2025-01-12 618.625065 824.021439 1112.364044 1563.292219 2284.207704 3458.893258 5.684006e+03
2025-01-19 547.432494 748.349331 1040.874611 1519.073514 2327.507398 3740.527991 6.682199e+03
2025-01-26 518.961318 729.246273 1047.626646 1593.985931 2577.471950 4442.199088 8.795830e+03
2025-02-02 489.003905 703.378711 1039.001298 1639.889437 2784.038863 5123.054664 1.122753e+04
2025-02-09 464.609296 682.774929 1035.097194 1691.634038 3011.465509 5919.999990 1.444998e+04
2025-02-16 433.822129 648.377767 1003.500994 1686.934222 3123.551861 6497.230768 1.747069e+04
2025-02-23 416.628004 634.289587 1004.464833 1743.044190 3376.797053 7511.153136 2.279362e+04
2025-03-02 396.228003 612.656820 989.276797 1764.338108 3557.016685 8409.697909 2.866639e+04
2025-03-09 371.714879 581.703629 953.712556 1738.218622 3618.902995 9000.215065 3.395191e+04
2025-03-16 344.316483 545.457393 908.372070 1693.279238 3647.024718 9581.056545 4.055559e+04
2025-03-23 327.486454 526.910112 895.231695 1718.280333 3870.942212 10959.890493 5.484882e+04
2025-03-30 303.780856 493.633493 849.574699 1662.004942 3857.524205 11496.002615 6.499600e+04
2025-04-06 284.132694 466.234284 812.748154 1620.594446 3877.235077 12188.536956 7.881320e+04
2025-04-13 265.983556 440.222509 776.156665 1574.284616 3871.546974 12790.194777 9.437136e+04
2025-04-20 261.110155 438.869048 789.796158 1652.782491 4278.672329 15555.924696 1.513623e+05
2025-04-27 253.759480 432.075047 791.219054 1700.911979 4607.092386 18292.106626 2.365961e+05
2025-05-04 247.339922 426.540668 794.682789 1755.188224 4980.355849 21729.744034 3.966070e+05
2025-05-11 236.911608 412.203496 777.350691 1750.257472 5136.637986 24059.646240 5.882873e+05
2025-05-18 231.742880 408.092253 782.451394 1809.137704 5567.253571 28926.614994 1.158839e+06
2025-05-25 224.417215 398.994802 775.238337 1831.490263 5861.729440 33311.242064 2.223980e+06